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Raila Will Beat Ruto By April- Atwoli

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Central Organization of Trade Unions COTU (K) Secretary-General Francis Atwoli has claimed that ODM leader Raila Odinga is gaining popularity over Deputy President William Ruto.

Speaking during an interview with TV47 on Wednesday, January 19, Atwoli claimed that the two heavyweights were level in terms of popularity at the Mt Kenya region.

Atwoli made reference to a report by the COTU Department of Economic Education and Research to support his sentiments.

“At COTU, we have numbers, which are not made public for obvious reasons. The head of the department intimated to me that at the moment, Raila and Ruto are neck to neck,” he said.

The COTU boss then claimed that by the month of April, Raila will have surpassed Ruto in the fight for the popular votes in the mountainous region.

“By the time we get to April, Raila would have overtaken Ruto,” he proclaimed.

Results of research polls by Trends and Insights Africa (TIFA) released on Friday, November 19 had predicted how Deputy President William Ruto will topple ODM leader Raila Odinga in the forthcoming 2022 elections to succeed President Uhuru Kenyatta.

The polls revealed that among the most widely considered candidates for the political showdown, DP Ruto had the most support, though from only slightly more than one-third of all respondents at 38 per cent. Raila had only slightly more than half of DP Ruto’s support at 23 per cent.

“Support for the most popular potential candidates is less concentrated in regional terms for both William Ruto and Raila Odinga than it is for any other. While Ruto scores above his national average (38%) in Central Rift (57%) and Mt. Kenya (53%), Raila scores about his national average (23%) in Coast (26%), Nairobi (27%), Northern (38%) and Nyanza (48%).

“For Mudavadi and Kalonzo, their quite modest support is concentrated in their home regions (Western 10% and Lower Eastern 9%, respectively),” the report which revealed popularity by zones read in part.

The polls also revealed that Ruto’s United Democratic Alliance (UDA) is the most popular party in the country, and which notably has been catching nationwide attention due to its bottom-up economic model.

UDA, also the country’s youngest party, enjoys popularity of 30 per cent, which is greater than that of ODM and Jubilee combined (21 per cent).

However, an Infotrak poll on December 27, 2021, countered TIFA’s results and placed Raila ahead of Ruto in terms of nationwide popularity. Odinga amassed 33 per cent, an increase of 20 per cent since 2020.

Ruto however dropped to 32 per cent based on popularity. Around the same period, he was popular with 44 of 100 Kenyans.

Results by Infotrak released on December 27, 2021. /FILE

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