Signs To Look Out For Before A Volcanic Eruption

Most volcanoes provide warnings before an eruption.

Signs To Look Out For Before A Volcanic Eruption
A collage of Mt Longonot on fire and a volcanic eruption. /DOMINIC MWANGI & BBC

As late as Thursday, October 27, reports went rife of a volcanic eruption at the famous Mt Longonot along the Great Rift Valley, southeast of Lake Naivasha in Nakuru County.

Kenyans on social media shared multiple videos of flames being witnessed on the mountain allegedly caused by lava coming from the mountain, which was thought to have last erupted in the 1860s.

However, a correspondent who spoke to Viral Tea on Friday, October 28 denied claims of an eruption at the mountain, stating that it was just a wildfire that started around the area.

A file image of a mountain on fire. /FACEBOOK

"It's a wildfire. Plus this is something geologists at KenGen would have picked first because they monitor the tectonic activities as they mine geothermal power," the correspondent told Viral Tea.

The Kenya Wildlife Service (KWS) thereafter issued a statement refuting reports of the stratovolcano erupting that night, stating that there was a fire mistaken for an eruption which was put out on Friday morning.

"Longonot National Park reported on Thursday, October 27, 2022, has been put out. An emergency response team dispatched to the area managed to contain and finally extinguish the inferno this morning.

"By the time the fire was put out, it had ravaged 40 hectares of bushland. There was no volcanic eruption of the mountain as reported in some media platforms. We assure that the park is safe for all visitors," the statement seen by Viral Tea read in part.

Despite the clarity, it would be wise for Kenyans to prepare for an event a mountain erupts, especially in the country. There is not much active volcanic activity in Kenya, with the Barrier, an active shield volcano located in the north of Kenya, last known to have erupted in 1921.

The closest shield volcano to Nairobi is Mount Suswa located in the Great Rift Valley between Narok and the capital city. The town with the same name, Suswa, is just northwest of the mountain and it is the main access point for visits to the mountain.

How To Tell If A Volcano Is About To Erupt

According to the United States Geological Survey (USGS), most volcanoes provide warnings before an eruption. Magmatic eruptions involve the rise of magma toward the surface, which normally generates detectable earthquakes.

It can also deform the ground surface and cause anomalous heat flow or changes in the temperature and chemistry of the groundwater and spring waters. Steam-blast eruptions, however, can occur with little or no warning as superheated water flashes to steam.

Volcanic hazards include magma explosions, exposure to toxic gases, lava flows or mudflows called ​lahars, and falling ​tephra, or ash debris.

The four main volcanic gases are carbon dioxide, sulfur dioxide, hydrogen sulfide and hydrogen halides. In certain concentrations, these gases damage health or cause fatalities in humans, animals and plants.

Notable precursors to an eruption might include:

  • An increase in the frequency and intensity of felt earthquakes
  • Noticeable steaming or fumarolic activity and new or enlarged areas of hot ground
  • Subtle swelling of the ground surface
  • Small changes in heat flow
  • Changes in the composition or relative abundances of fumarolic gases

These precursors however do not indicate the type or scale of an expected eruption (that information is best obtained by mapping previous eruptions).

Precursors can continue for weeks, months, or even years before an eruptive activity begins, or they can subside at any time and not be followed by an eruption. Italy’s Campi Flegrei volcano, for example, has been showing signs of unrest for over 60 years.

The products of large volcanic eruptions can reach over 60 miles away from the volcano crater. Supervolcano eruptions, such as Yellowstone in the United States, are powerful enough to impact the global climate.

The most recent volcanic eruption occurred at the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC)'s Mt. Nyiragongo on May 22, 2021, which led to the displacement of 450,000 people, 32 deaths and 1,000 homes destroyed.

Eruption of Mt Nyiragongo on May 22, 2021. /UN