While others were playing it safe, CBK came through with bold optimism, saying Kenya’s banking, agriculture, and manufacturing industries are set to create more jobs in 2025.
Banks largely expect to hire more employees in 2025, supported by continued branch expansion and growth in the business launch of new products, and to replace exiting staff.
Non-bank players had mixed expectations about hiring in 2025. 38 per cent of the respondents indicated that they would not hire due to rising operational costs, increased taxes and levies, and delayed government payments. Only 13 percent stated that they would definitely hire, 33 percent will probably hire, and 16 percent revealed they definitely won’t hire.
Banks are feeling slightly upbeat; 32 percent of respondents say they’re definitely hiring, and 50 percent say they’ll probably bring more people on board. Only 16 percent probably won’t hire, and just 3 percent are a hard no.
Agriculture is, however, split down the middle. About 22 percent say they’ll definitely hire, and another 22 percent say they probably will. But 44 percent are leaning toward not hiring, and 11 percent are flat-out not planning to.
Manufacturing is playing it safe. Just 16 percent say they’ll definitely hire, 32 percent say probably, while 35 percent probably won’t, and 16 percent definitely won’t.
The trade sector is however assured of not making any new hires. Only five percent are sure they’ll hire, and 21 percent say they probably will. But 45 percent probably won’t, and a hefty 29 percent definitely won’t — the most negative outlook of all sectors.
It is uncertain for the construction sector as players are split into three. 33 percent probably will, 33 percent probably won’t, and 33 percent definitely won’t. The transport sector is different, as about 38 percent might hire, but 50 percent probably won’t, and 13 percent definitely won't hire.
Hotels show a glimmer of hope. Around 13 percent are down to hiring, 40 percent are assured of hiring. However, 32 percent probably won’t hire, and 12 percent will definitely not hire.
Managers say business activity is set to pick up, thanks to the ongoing rains hitting different parts of the country. Comparing the March 2025 outlook to January, CBK sees a boost coming in demand and production levels for the next quarter.
However, sales growth and price changes—both for purchases and sales—are expected to slow down, with the one exception being agriculture, where input costs are climbing.
Still, there’s optimism for 2025. Respondents are betting on better overall economic performances this year, thanks to a stronger farming sector, cheaper loans, and a steady macroeconomic backdrop.
Agriculture is expected to lead the charge, powered by good weather conditions and fresh reforms from the government.
Crops being irrigated in a farm. /GRADUATE FARMER